Current Season

2026 three-stage framework with modern benchmarks and source-locked external evidence.

Early Activation

3rd–7th June

Computed

Stabilisation

14th–18th June

Computed

Main Prasava

18th–21st June

Computed

Computed and recorded on 18th April, 2026

Modern benchmarks

OfficialIMD forecast issued — 15th May, 2026
OfficialIMD forecast onset — 26th May, 2026 (±4 days)
OfficialIMD declaration — 4th June, 2026

Arrival (Early Activation) is distinct from establishment (Stabilisation) and from the principal seasonal release (Main Prasava). Revival evidence is not an onset declaration.

Timeline anchors: 18 Apr (computed) · 4 Jun (IMD declared) · Early 3rd–7th June · Stabilisation 14th–18th June · Main 18th–21st June.